NHL Projections
Slate-based NHL projections with manual adjustments, line tracking, and team environment context built to uncover real edges.
Player
Pos
Team
Opp
Line
PP
TT
Floor
Ceil
DK Proj
Nikita Kucherov
RW
TB
MON
1
1
2.86
8.46
41.24
15.36
Brandon Hagel
LW
TB
MON
1
1
2.86
9.03
41.11
15.31
David Pastrnak
RW
BOS
BUF
1
1
2.66
8.44
38.68
14.67
Jack Eichel
C
VGK
UTA
1
1
2.84
8.07
35.63
13.62
Alex Tuch
RW
BUF
BOS
1
1
2.88
8.03
35.41
13.16
Jake Guentzel
RW
TB
MON
2
1
2.86
7.68
34.91
13
Tage Thompson
C
BUF
BOS
1
1
2.88
7.91
33.73
12.86
Darren Raddysh
D
TB
MON
1
1
2.86
7.67
27.48
12.07
Dylan Guenther
RW
UTA
VGK
2
1
2.76
7.17
32
12.02
Jeremy Swayman
G
BOS
BUF
2.88
10.75
11.52
11.52
Mark Stone
RW
VGK
UTA
2
1
2.84
6.51
30.87
11.51
Jakub Dobes
G
MON
TB
2.86
10.58
11.37
11.37
Cole Caufield
LW
MON
TB
1
1
2.64
6.89
29.75
11.3
Charlie McAvoy
D
BOS
BUF
1
1
2.66
6.77
17.81
11.02
Andrei Vasilevskiy
G
TB
MON
2.64
10.64
10.98
10.98
Rasmus Dahlin
D
BUF
BOS
1
1
2.88
6.92
19.94
10.76
Pavel Dorofeyev
RW
VGK
UTA
1
1
2.84
6.58
28.86
10.76
Clayton Keller
LW
UTA
VGK
1
1
2.76
6.22
28.12
10.56
Nick Suzuki
C
MON
TB
1
1
2.64
6.16
24.37
10.5
Karel Vejmelka
G
UTA
VGK
2.84
10.44
10.31
10.31
Mikhail Sergachev
D
UTA
VGK
1
1
2.76
6.46
16.72
10.26
Carter Hart
G
VGK
UTA
2.76
9.45
10.16
10.16
Alex Lyon
G
BUF
BOS
2.66
11.22
10.14
10.14
Lane Hutson
D
MON
TB
2
1
2.64
5.89
16.3
10.1
Morgan Geekie
RW
BOS
BUF
2
1
2.66
5.86
26.51
10.05
Mitch Marner
C
VGK
UTA
2
1
2.84
5.87
21.54
10.05
Nick Schmaltz
C
UTA
VGK
1
1
2.76
6.04
25.58
9.85
MacKenzie Weegar
D
UTA
VGK
1
2
2.76
6.62
17.62
9.75
Logan Cooley
C
UTA
VGK
2
1
2.76
5.61
24.82
9.56
Juraj Slafkovsky
LW
MON
TB
2
1
2.64
5.83
24.88
9.45
Shea Theodore
D
VGK
UTA
1
1
2.84
5.76
16.02
9.05
Brayden Point
C
TB
MON
1
1
2.86
5.5
22.5
8.59
Rasmus Andersson
D
VGK
UTA
2
2
2.84
5.95
14.1
8.59
Elias Lindholm
C
BOS
BUF
2
1
2.66
5.23
19.34
8.45
Mike Matheson
D
MON
TB
1
2
2.64
5.53
13.17
8.16
Jack Quinn
RW
BUF
BOS
2
2
2.88
5.29
21.59
8.07
Pavel Zacha
C
BOS
BUF
1
1
2.66
4.61
20.68
8.03
Noah Hanifin
D
VGK
UTA
2
2
2.84
5.49
13.15
8.01
Anthony Cirelli
C
TB
MON
2
2
2.86
5.16
18.91
7.89
Lawson Crouse
RW
UTA
VGK
1
2
2.76
4.99
20.83
7.83
Jason Zucker
LW
BUF
BOS
2
1
2.88
5.01
20.86
7.75
Bowen Byram
D
BUF
BOS
2
2
2.88
4.7
17.75
7.65
Alexandre Carrier
D
MON
TB
1
2.64
5.02
12.11
7.51
Ivan Barbashev
LW
VGK
UTA
1
2
2.84
4.39
18.78
7.5
Josh Norris
C
BUF
BOS
3
1
2.88
4.42
17.76
7.38
Brayden McNabb
D
VGK
UTA
1
2.84
5.13
11.95
7.28
Kaiden Guhle
D
MON
TB
2
2.64
4.72
11.19
6.93
Hampus Lindholm
D
BOS
BUF
2
2
2.66
4.86
11.14
6.89
Owen Power
D
BUF
BOS
2
2.88
4.61
11.03
6.7
Josh Doan
RW
BUF
BOS
3
2
2.88
4.48
17.97
6.68
Ryan McDonagh
D
TB
MON
2
2.86
4.23
10.53
6.41
J.J. Moser
D
TB
MON
1
2
2.86
4.42
10.47
6.37
Ivan Demidov
RW
MON
TB
2
1
2.64
3.75
16.41
6.23
Zach Benson
LW
BUF
BOS
3
2
2.88
4.06
14.42
6.22
Mattias Samuelsson
D
BUF
BOS
1
2.88
4.17
10.06
6.11
Ian Cole
D
UTA
VGK
3
2.76
4.01
9.77
6
Ryan McLeod
C
BUF
BOS
2
2
2.88
3.6
10.12
5.9
Max Crozier
D
TB
MON
3
2.86
3.83
9.62
5.85
Tomas Hertl
C
VGK
UTA
3
2
2.84
4.01
15.26
5.83
Andrew Peeke
D
BOS
BUF
3
2.66
4.16
9.34
5.78
Kailer Yamamoto
LW
UTA
VGK
2
2.76
3.46
12.37
5.52
Sean Durzi
D
UTA
VGK
3
2.76
3.76
8.93
5.48
Fraser Minten
C
BOS
BUF
3
2
2.66
3.71
10.03
5.4
Zack Bolduc
LW
MON
TB
4
2
2.64
3.45
14.1
5.36
Alexander Kerfoot
C
UTA
VGK
3
2
2.76
3.54
9.89
5.33
Brett Howden
LW
VGK
UTA
2
2
2.84
3.36
14.23
5.3
Michael Eyssimont
RW
BOS
BUF
3
2.66
3.68
13.92
5.28
Henri Jokiharju
D
BOS
BUF
2
2.66
2.79
8.53
5.28
Peyton Krebs
LW
BUF
BOS
1
2.88
3.28
12.03
5.28
Alex Newhook
LW
MON
TB
3
2
2.64
3.43
13.27
5.26
Josh Anderson
RW
MON
TB
1
2.64
3.43
13.42
5.17
Erik Cernak
D
TB
MON
2
2.86
3.72
8.45
5.14
Casey Mittelstadt
LW
BOS
BUF
2
2
2.66
2.98
9.8
5.13
Nikita Zadorov
D
BOS
BUF
3
2.66
3.68
8.14
5.04
Alexandre Texier
RW
MON
TB
4
2
2.64
3.29
13.26
5.04
Michael Carcone
RW
UTA
VGK
3
2
2.76
3.39
13.36
5.02
Alex Steeves
LW
BOS
BUF
3
2
2.66
3.01
11.79
4.98
Brendan Gallagher
RW
MON
TB
3
2.64
2.68
12.91
4.9
JJ Peterka
LW
UTA
VGK
3
2
2.76
3.24
12.95
4.86
John Marino
D
UTA
VGK
2
2.76
3.03
7.89
4.84
Marat Khusnutdinov
LW
BOS
BUF
1
2
2.66
3.28
8.31
4.82
Jonathan Aspirot
D
BOS
BUF
1
2.66
3.28
7.75
4.8
Dominic James
C
TB
MON
3
2.86
3.31
10.76
4.8
Nate Schmidt
D
UTA
VGK
2
2.76
3.33
7.8
4.78
Kirby Dach
C
MON
TB
4
2
2.64
3.06
12.13
4.72
Conor Timmins
D
BUF
BOS
3
2.88
3.57
7.76
4.71
Jake Evans
C
MON
TB
2
2.64
3.14
7.83
4.66
Logan Stanley
D
BUF
BOS
3
2.88
3.25
7.27
4.42
Reilly Smith
LW
VGK
UTA
3
2.84
2.86
11.1
4.42
Jeremy Lauzon
D
VGK
UTA
3
2.84
3.34
7.24
4.41
Yanni Gourde
LW
TB
MON
2
2.86
3.14
7.65
4.36
Sean Kuraly
C
BOS
BUF
4
2.66
3.11
8.15
4.33
Gage Goncalves
LW
TB
MON
3
2
2.86
2.66
7.04
4.01
Phillip Danault
C
MON
TB
3
2.64
2.92
6.73
4
Kevin Stenlund
LW
UTA
VGK
4
2.76
2.8
7.23
3.97
Mark Kastelic
RW
BOS
BUF
4
2.66
2.84
7.67
3.9
Oliver Bjorkstrand
RW
TB
MON
3
2
2.86
2.81
9.5
3.88
Barrett Hayton
C
UTA
VGK
4
2.76
2.33
9.07
3.87
Colton Sissons
RW
VGK
UTA
4
2.84
2.74
6.62
3.74
Tanner Jeannot
LW
BOS
BUF
4
2.66
2.55
8.33
3.68
Emil Lilleberg
D
TB
MON
3
2.86
2.67
5.96
3.63
Kaedan Korczak
D
VGK
UTA
3
2.84
2.69
5.96
3.63
Beck Malenstyn
RW
BUF
BOS
4
2.88
2.7
6.93
3.6
Corey Perry
RW
TB
MON
4
2
2.86
2.24
8.22
3.18
Nic Dowd
C
VGK
UTA
4
2.84
2.06
8.11
3.1
Tyson Kozak
C
BUF
BOS
4
2.88
2.16
5.17
3.01
Jordan Greenway
LW
BUF
BOS
4
2.88
2.19
4.96
2.82
Cole Smith
LW
VGK
UTA
4
2.84
1.83
5.04
2.7
Keegan Kolesar
RW
VGK
UTA
3
2.84
1.99
4.73
2.7
Nick Paul
C
TB
MON
4
2.86
1.92
5.74
2.52
Zemgus Girgensons
LW
TB
MON
4
2.86
1.93
4.25
2.42
Arber Xhekaj
D
MON
TB
3
2.64
1.74
3.53
2.19
Brandon Tanev
RW
UTA
VGK
4
2.76
1.7
3.44
1.97
Jayden Struble
D
MON
TB
3
2.64
1.33
2.99
1.85
Player
Pos
Team
Opp
Line
PP
TT
Floor
Ceil
DK Proj
Nikita Kucherov
RW
TB
MON
1
1
2.86
8.46
41.24
15.36
Brandon Hagel
LW
TB
MON
1
1
2.86
9.03
41.11
15.31
David Pastrnak
RW
BOS
BUF
1
1
2.66
8.44
38.68
14.67
Jack Eichel
C
VGK
UTA
1
1
2.84
8.07
35.63
13.62
Alex Tuch
RW
BUF
BOS
1
1
2.88
8.03
35.41
13.16
Jake Guentzel
RW
TB
MON
2
1
2.86
7.68
34.91
13
Tage Thompson
C
BUF
BOS
1
1
2.88
7.91
33.73
12.86
Darren Raddysh
D
TB
MON
1
1
2.86
7.67
27.48
12.07
Dylan Guenther
RW
UTA
VGK
2
1
2.76
7.17
32
12.02
Jeremy Swayman
G
BOS
BUF
2.88
10.75
11.52
11.52
Mark Stone
RW
VGK
UTA
2
1
2.84
6.51
30.87
11.51
Jakub Dobes
G
MON
TB
2.86
10.58
11.37
11.37
Cole Caufield
LW
MON
TB
1
1
2.64
6.89
29.75
11.3
Charlie McAvoy
D
BOS
BUF
1
1
2.66
6.77
17.81
11.02
Andrei Vasilevskiy
G
TB
MON
2.64
10.64
10.98
10.98
Rasmus Dahlin
D
BUF
BOS
1
1
2.88
6.92
19.94
10.76
Pavel Dorofeyev
RW
VGK
UTA
1
1
2.84
6.58
28.86
10.76
Clayton Keller
LW
UTA
VGK
1
1
2.76
6.22
28.12
10.56
Nick Suzuki
C
MON
TB
1
1
2.64
6.16
24.37
10.5
Karel Vejmelka
G
UTA
VGK
2.84
10.44
10.31
10.31
Mikhail Sergachev
D
UTA
VGK
1
1
2.76
6.46
16.72
10.26
Carter Hart
G
VGK
UTA
2.76
9.45
10.16
10.16
Alex Lyon
G
BUF
BOS
2.66
11.22
10.14
10.14
Lane Hutson
D
MON
TB
2
1
2.64
5.89
16.3
10.1
Morgan Geekie
RW
BOS
BUF
2
1
2.66
5.86
26.51
10.05
Mitch Marner
C
VGK
UTA
2
1
2.84
5.87
21.54
10.05
Nick Schmaltz
C
UTA
VGK
1
1
2.76
6.04
25.58
9.85
MacKenzie Weegar
D
UTA
VGK
1
2
2.76
6.62
17.62
9.75
Logan Cooley
C
UTA
VGK
2
1
2.76
5.61
24.82
9.56
Juraj Slafkovsky
LW
MON
TB
2
1
2.64
5.83
24.88
9.45
Shea Theodore
D
VGK
UTA
1
1
2.84
5.76
16.02
9.05
Brayden Point
C
TB
MON
1
1
2.86
5.5
22.5
8.59
Rasmus Andersson
D
VGK
UTA
2
2
2.84
5.95
14.1
8.59
Elias Lindholm
C
BOS
BUF
2
1
2.66
5.23
19.34
8.45
Mike Matheson
D
MON
TB
1
2
2.64
5.53
13.17
8.16
Jack Quinn
RW
BUF
BOS
2
2
2.88
5.29
21.59
8.07
Pavel Zacha
C
BOS
BUF
1
1
2.66
4.61
20.68
8.03
Noah Hanifin
D
VGK
UTA
2
2
2.84
5.49
13.15
8.01
Anthony Cirelli
C
TB
MON
2
2
2.86
5.16
18.91
7.89
Lawson Crouse
RW
UTA
VGK
1
2
2.76
4.99
20.83
7.83
Jason Zucker
LW
BUF
BOS
2
1
2.88
5.01
20.86
7.75
Bowen Byram
D
BUF
BOS
2
2
2.88
4.7
17.75
7.65
Alexandre Carrier
D
MON
TB
1
2.64
5.02
12.11
7.51
Ivan Barbashev
LW
VGK
UTA
1
2
2.84
4.39
18.78
7.5
Josh Norris
C
BUF
BOS
3
1
2.88
4.42
17.76
7.38
Brayden McNabb
D
VGK
UTA
1
2.84
5.13
11.95
7.28
Kaiden Guhle
D
MON
TB
2
2.64
4.72
11.19
6.93
Hampus Lindholm
D
BOS
BUF
2
2
2.66
4.86
11.14
6.89
Owen Power
D
BUF
BOS
2
2.88
4.61
11.03
6.7
Josh Doan
RW
BUF
BOS
3
2
2.88
4.48
17.97
6.68
Ryan McDonagh
D
TB
MON
2
2.86
4.23
10.53
6.41
J.J. Moser
D
TB
MON
1
2
2.86
4.42
10.47
6.37
Ivan Demidov
RW
MON
TB
2
1
2.64
3.75
16.41
6.23
Zach Benson
LW
BUF
BOS
3
2
2.88
4.06
14.42
6.22
Mattias Samuelsson
D
BUF
BOS
1
2.88
4.17
10.06
6.11
Ian Cole
D
UTA
VGK
3
2.76
4.01
9.77
6
Ryan McLeod
C
BUF
BOS
2
2
2.88
3.6
10.12
5.9
Max Crozier
D
TB
MON
3
2.86
3.83
9.62
5.85
Tomas Hertl
C
VGK
UTA
3
2
2.84
4.01
15.26
5.83
Andrew Peeke
D
BOS
BUF
3
2.66
4.16
9.34
5.78
Kailer Yamamoto
LW
UTA
VGK
2
2.76
3.46
12.37
5.52
Sean Durzi
D
UTA
VGK
3
2.76
3.76
8.93
5.48
Fraser Minten
C
BOS
BUF
3
2
2.66
3.71
10.03
5.4
Zack Bolduc
LW
MON
TB
4
2
2.64
3.45
14.1
5.36
Alexander Kerfoot
C
UTA
VGK
3
2
2.76
3.54
9.89
5.33
Brett Howden
LW
VGK
UTA
2
2
2.84
3.36
14.23
5.3
Michael Eyssimont
RW
BOS
BUF
3
2.66
3.68
13.92
5.28
Henri Jokiharju
D
BOS
BUF
2
2.66
2.79
8.53
5.28
Peyton Krebs
LW
BUF
BOS
1
2.88
3.28
12.03
5.28
Alex Newhook
LW
MON
TB
3
2
2.64
3.43
13.27
5.26
Josh Anderson
RW
MON
TB
1
2.64
3.43
13.42
5.17
Erik Cernak
D
TB
MON
2
2.86
3.72
8.45
5.14
Casey Mittelstadt
LW
BOS
BUF
2
2
2.66
2.98
9.8
5.13
Nikita Zadorov
D
BOS
BUF
3
2.66
3.68
8.14
5.04
Alexandre Texier
RW
MON
TB
4
2
2.64
3.29
13.26
5.04
Michael Carcone
RW
UTA
VGK
3
2
2.76
3.39
13.36
5.02
Alex Steeves
LW
BOS
BUF
3
2
2.66
3.01
11.79
4.98
Brendan Gallagher
RW
MON
TB
3
2.64
2.68
12.91
4.9
JJ Peterka
LW
UTA
VGK
3
2
2.76
3.24
12.95
4.86
John Marino
D
UTA
VGK
2
2.76
3.03
7.89
4.84
Marat Khusnutdinov
LW
BOS
BUF
1
2
2.66
3.28
8.31
4.82
Jonathan Aspirot
D
BOS
BUF
1
2.66
3.28
7.75
4.8
Dominic James
C
TB
MON
3
2.86
3.31
10.76
4.8
Nate Schmidt
D
UTA
VGK
2
2.76
3.33
7.8
4.78
Kirby Dach
C
MON
TB
4
2
2.64
3.06
12.13
4.72
Conor Timmins
D
BUF
BOS
3
2.88
3.57
7.76
4.71
Jake Evans
C
MON
TB
2
2.64
3.14
7.83
4.66
Logan Stanley
D
BUF
BOS
3
2.88
3.25
7.27
4.42
Reilly Smith
LW
VGK
UTA
3
2.84
2.86
11.1
4.42
Jeremy Lauzon
D
VGK
UTA
3
2.84
3.34
7.24
4.41
Yanni Gourde
LW
TB
MON
2
2.86
3.14
7.65
4.36
Sean Kuraly
C
BOS
BUF
4
2.66
3.11
8.15
4.33
Gage Goncalves
LW
TB
MON
3
2
2.86
2.66
7.04
4.01
Phillip Danault
C
MON
TB
3
2.64
2.92
6.73
4
Kevin Stenlund
LW
UTA
VGK
4
2.76
2.8
7.23
3.97
Mark Kastelic
RW
BOS
BUF
4
2.66
2.84
7.67
3.9
Oliver Bjorkstrand
RW
TB
MON
3
2
2.86
2.81
9.5
3.88
Barrett Hayton
C
UTA
VGK
4
2.76
2.33
9.07
3.87
Colton Sissons
RW
VGK
UTA
4
2.84
2.74
6.62
3.74
Tanner Jeannot
LW
BOS
BUF
4
2.66
2.55
8.33
3.68
Emil Lilleberg
D
TB
MON
3
2.86
2.67
5.96
3.63
Kaedan Korczak
D
VGK
UTA
3
2.84
2.69
5.96
3.63
Beck Malenstyn
RW
BUF
BOS
4
2.88
2.7
6.93
3.6
Corey Perry
RW
TB
MON
4
2
2.86
2.24
8.22
3.18
Nic Dowd
C
VGK
UTA
4
2.84
2.06
8.11
3.1
Tyson Kozak
C
BUF
BOS
4
2.88
2.16
5.17
3.01
Jordan Greenway
LW
BUF
BOS
4
2.88
2.19
4.96
2.82
Cole Smith
LW
VGK
UTA
4
2.84
1.83
5.04
2.7
Keegan Kolesar
RW
VGK
UTA
3
2.84
1.99
4.73
2.7
Nick Paul
C
TB
MON
4
2.86
1.92
5.74
2.52
Zemgus Girgensons
LW
TB
MON
4
2.86
1.93
4.25
2.42
Arber Xhekaj
D
MON
TB
3
2.64
1.74
3.53
2.19
Brandon Tanev
RW
UTA
VGK
4
2.76
1.7
3.44
1.97
Jayden Struble
D
MON
TB
3
2.64
1.33
2.99
1.85